LA EDUCACION Y EL CIRCULO VICIOSO DE LA POBREZA.

ANEXO Nº 1
Logistic Regression Nº 1


Notes
Syntax		LOGISTIC REGRESSION VAR=rhaprob1  /METHOD=ENTER rjnivedu  

/CRITERIA PIN(.05) POUT(.10) ITERATE(20) CUT(.5) .Resources	Elapsed Time	0:00:16,53

      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0
      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  25
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 4635

Dependent Variable Encoding:
Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa 
Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function
-2 Log Likelihood   4614899,5
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       RJNIVEDU  Nivel educativo del jefe
Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.
 -2 Log Likelihood   4201996,42
 Goodness of Fit     3483575,03
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               412903,043     1        ,0000
 Block               412903,043     1        ,0000
 Step                412903,043     1        ,0000

Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50

                   Predicted
                  No       Si      Percent Correct
                   N   I    S
Observed      +--------+--------+
   No     N   I 2048133I  179671I   91,94%
              +--------+--------+
   Si     S   I  955419I  330222I   25,69%
              +--------+--------+
 
                          Overall  67,69%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RJNIVEDU       ,9414     ,0016 364289,5     1    ,0000   ,2810    2,5635
Constant     -3,0469     ,0044 483940,9     1    ,0000

Logistic Regression Nº 2

 
Resources	Elapsed Time	0:00:16,59
      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0
      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  25
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 4635

Dependent Variable Encoding:
Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function
-2 Log Likelihood   4614899,5
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       RJANOAPR  Años de estudio del jefe

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood   4157871,85
 Goodness of Fit     3490196,12
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               457027,612     1        ,0000
 Block               457027,612     1        ,0000
 Step                457027,612     1        ,0000

Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50

                   Predicted
                  No       Si      Percent Correct
                   N   I    S
Observed      +--------+--------+
   No     N   I 1731361I  496442I   77,72%
              +--------+--------+
   Si     S   I  598676I  686965I   53,43%
              +--------+--------+

                           Overall  68,83%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RJANOAPR       ,1741     ,0003 400846,7     1    ,0000   ,2947    1,1902
Constant     -1,9000     ,0025 568502,8     1    ,0000

 
 
 
 
Logistic Regression Nº 3

      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0
      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  805
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 3855

Dependent Variable Encoding:
Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa
Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   3838820,4
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       RPNIVEDU  Nivel educativo del cónyuge

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.

 
 -2 Log Likelihood   3433194,21
 Goodness of Fit     2894384,18
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

 
                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               405626,194     1        ,0000
 Block               405626,194     1        ,0000
 Step                405626,194     1        ,0000

Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50

                   Predicted
                  No       Si      Percent Correct
                   N   I    S
Observed      +--------+--------+
   No     N   I 1419901I  408570I   77,66%
              +--------+--------+
   Si     S   I  472062I  608756I   56,32%
              +--------+--------+

 
                           Overall  69,73%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RPNIVEDU       ,9949     ,0017 341630,8     1    ,0000   ,2983    2,7046
Constant     -2,8672     ,0043 447746,9     1    ,0000

 
 
 
Logistic Regression Nº 4

  
      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  805
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 3855

Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function
-2 Log Likelihood   3838820,4
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       RPANOAPR  Años de estudio del cónyuge

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.
 -2 Log Likelihood   3397979,66
 Goodness of Fit     2887043,84
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000
                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               440840,742     1        ,0000
 Block               440840,742     1        ,0000
 Step                440840,742     1        ,0000

 
Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50

 
 
                   Predicted
                  No       Si      Percent Correct
                   N   I    S
Observed      +--------+--------+
   No     N   I 1508632I  319839I   82,51%
              +--------+--------+
   Si     S   I  555277I  525541I   48,62%
              +--------+--------+
                           Overall  69,92%

 
---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RPANOAPR       ,1879     ,0003 379251,6     1    ,0000   ,3143    1,2067
Constant     -1,6604     ,0023 513668,7     1    ,0000

 
 
Logistic Regression Nº 5

 
Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  25
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 4635

Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RATRAMAS  Atraso mayor a un año
Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function
-2 Log Likelihood   4757473,3
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       RJANOAPR  Años de estudio del jefe

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.
 -2 Log Likelihood   4188872,61
 Goodness of Fit     3522723,39
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

 
                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               568600,713     1        ,0000
 Block               568600,713     1        ,0000
 Step                568600,713     1        ,0000

Classification Table for RATRAMAS
The Cut Value is ,50
      

               Predicted
                   ,00      1,00     Percent Correct
                     0   I    1
Observed        +--------+--------+
   ,00      0   I 1352934I  718257I   65,32%
                +--------+--------+
   1,00     1   I  469072I  973181I   67,48%
                +--------+--------+
                             Overall  66,21%

 
 
 
---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RJANOAPR      -,2004     ,0003 466957,9     1    ,0000  -,3133     ,8184
Constant      1,0268     ,0022 209372,0     1    ,0000

  
 Logistic Regression Nº 6

 
      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0
      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  821
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 3839

Dependent Variable Encoding:

Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1
Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   3817604,6
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       RJANOAPR  Años de estudio del jefe
          INGHOG1D  Ing Bruto Ho tri
          RPANOAPR  Años de estudio del cónyuge

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood   3310369,94
 Goodness of Fit     2861173,76
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               507234,625     3        ,0000
 Block               507234,625     3        ,0000
 Step                507234,625     3        ,0000

Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50
                   Predicted
                  No       Si      Percent Correct
                   N   I    S
Observed      +--------+--------+
   No     N   I 1502503I  316763I   82,59%
              +--------+--------+
   Si     S   I  552853I  521570I   48,54%
              +--------+--------+
                           Overall  69,95%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RJANOAPR       ,1078     ,0004 66728,27     1    ,0000   ,1322    1,1139
INGHOG1D    3,52E-06 2,419E-07 211,2938     1    ,0000   ,0074    1,0000
RPANOAPR       ,1144     ,0004 78561,41     1    ,0000   ,1435    1,1213
Constant     -2,0863     ,0029 501530,7     1    ,0000

  
 Logistic Regression: Nº 7 

 
      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0
      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  69
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 4591

Dependent Variable Encoding:
Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   4570427,3
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

 
Variable(s) Entered on Step Number

1..       RJINGRE2  Ingreso bruto mensual del jefe
          RJANOAPR  Años de estudio del jefe

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood   4091401,79
 Goodness of Fit     3495529,68
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               479025,501     2        ,0000
 Block               479025,501     2        ,0000
 Step                479025,501     2        ,0000

Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50
                   Predicted
                  No       Si      Percent Correct
                   N   I    S
Observed      +--------+--------+
   No     N   I 1904657I  303839I   86,24%
              +--------+--------+
   Si     S   I  781884I  490389I   38,54%
              +--------+--------+
                           Overall  68,81%

 
---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RJINGRE2       ,0003 2,087E-06 14681,55     1    ,0000   ,0567    1,0003
RJANOAPR       ,1625     ,0003 299666,7     1    ,0000   ,2561    1,1764
Constant     -1,9228     ,0025 573035,8     1    ,0000

 
Logistic Regression: Nº 8 
Edad normativa de hijos, excluyendo a los hijos sin nivel

 
      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0

      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  83
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 4577

Dependent Variable Encoding:
Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROBD   Edad normativa excluye a sin nivel
Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function

-2 Log Likelihood   4575375,4
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number

1..       RJANOAPR  Años de estudio del jefe
          INGHOG1D  Ing Bruto Ho tri

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.
 -2 Log Likelihood   4126917,99
 Goodness of Fit     3448024,52
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

                     Chi-Square    df Significance

 Model               448457,399     2        ,0000
 Block               448457,399     2        ,0000
 Step                448457,399     2        ,0000

 
Classification Table for RHAPROBD
The Cut Value is ,50
                     Predicted
                   ,00      1,00     Percent Correct
                     0   I    1
Observed        +--------+--------+
   ,00      0   I 1694976I  489787I   77,58%
                +--------+--------+
   1,00     1   I  598676I  686965I   53,43%
                +--------+--------+
                             Overall  68,64%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

RJANOAPR       ,1713     ,0003 349656,2     1    ,0000   ,2764    1,1869
INGHOG1D    4,87E-06 2,101E-07 538,4323     1    ,0000   ,0108    1,0000
Constant     -1,8848     ,0026 545337,6     1    ,0000

 
Logistic Regression Nº 9: probando incidencia de Serv.Pub. de C.E.
 

      Total number of cases:      4660 (Unweighted)
      Number of selected cases:   4660
      Number of unselected cases: 0
      Number of selected cases:                 4660
      Number rejected because of missing data:  1982
      Number of cases included in the analysis: 2678

Dependent Variable Encoding:
Original       Internal
Value          Value
     ,00       0
    1,00       1

Dependent Variable..   RHAPROB1   Edad normativa

Beginning Block Number  0.  Initial Log Likelihood Function
-2 Log Likelihood   2736549,2
* Constant is included in the model.
Beginning Block Number  1.  Method: Enter

Variable(s) Entered on Step Number
1..       INGHOG1D  Ing Bruto Ho tri
          RJANOAPR  Años de estudio del jefe
          RPANOAPR  Años de estudio del cónyuge
          RCESP     ServPub CE

Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because
Log Likelihood decreased by less than ,01 percent.

 -2 Log Likelihood   2314460,35
 Goodness of Fit     1980417,81
 Cox & Snell - R^2        1,000
 Nagelkerke - R^2         1,000

 
                     Chi-Square    df Significance
 Model               422088,803     4        ,0000

 Block               422088,803     4        ,0000
 Step                422088,803     4        ,0000

Classification Table for RHAPROB1
The Cut Value is ,50

                  Predicted
                 No      Si      Percent Correct
                   N  I    S
Observed      +-------+-------+
   No     N   I 893963I 249219I   78,20%
              +-------+-------+
   Si     S   I 358276I 501556I   58,33%
              +-------+-------+
                         Overall  69,67%

---------------------- Variables in the Equation -----------------------

Variable           B      S.E.     Wald    df      Sig       R    Exp(B)

INGHOG1D    5,89E-06 3,075E-07 367,5361     1    ,0000   ,0116    1,0000
RJANOAPR       ,1094     ,0005 47227,09     1    ,0000   ,1314    1,1156
RPANOAPR       ,1240     ,0005 62284,64     1    ,0000   ,1509    1,1320
RCESP          ,1116     ,0010 12077,37     1    ,0000   ,0664    1,1181
Constant     -2,3663     ,0049 229238,1     1    ,0000